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Watchlist
The six stories the board is following. Open one for its latest status and everything on it, week by week.
Lab evaluation incidents
46
AI models breaking out of their cyber evaluations into real systems, and the response from labs and governments.
Frontier model capability
49
What the most capable models can now do in cyber, how labs and testers measure it, and who is allowed access.
AI in real attacks
33
Attackers using AI models and agents in actual operations.
Attacks on AI systems
78
Attacks aimed at AI itself: prompt injection, poisoned agent tools and packages, exposed AI infrastructure, and stolen or copied model access.
AI-found vulnerabilities
26
AI finding software flaws faster than they are patched, and what that does to disclosure.
Critical infrastructure
8
AI-linked threats to water, power and other industrial control systems.
Also watching
Running threads outside the six topics. Open one for its items and their original sources.
CAISI leadership and output
4
Sep 24
Aug 29
Policy
A bipartisan bill would have CAISI monitor how AI systems build the next generation of AI
Office of Rep. George Whitesides ↗
Aug 4
Policy
NIST signs memorandum of understanding with Energy Department to join Genesis Mission, including an AI center for critical infrastructure security
NIST ↗
Jul 23
Capability
UK AISI and US CAISI jointly assess Kimi K3 — safeguards did not stop it attempting offensive cyber
UK AI Security Institute / CAISI ↗
Jul 21
Policy
NIST director Arvind Raman named acting CAISI head after Fall's exit
Nextgov/FCW ↗
Industry-government defense collaboration
17
Sep 23
Sep 23
Defense
OpenAI extends its gated cyber programme to Ukraine's government for civilian infrastructure defence
OpenAI ↗
Sep 21
Policy
Bipartisan House bill would have CISA buy frontier AI for critical-infrastructure defenders
US Congress / GovInfo ↗
Sep 11
Defense
CIS and OpenAI open an AI cyber defense pilot for state, local, tribal and territorial governments
CIS and OpenAI (via Industrial Cyber) ↗
Sep 3
Defense
OpenAI commits $1 billion in subsidised Daybreak access for under-resourced defenders of essential services
OpenAI ↗
Sep 3
Defense
SentinelOne puts OpenAI's gated cyber model behind three of its Wayfinder services
SentinelOne ↗
Sep 2
Defense
Google opens Fairwind, a vetted-access program for its cyber model and CodeMender
Google ↗
Aug 27
Defense
OpenAI leads more than 100 companies in an open letter calling for collective AI cyber defense
OpenAI (open letter, 100+ signatories) ↗
Aug 21
Defense
Anthropic widens defender access to its Mythos 5 cyber model through outputs and launches a $35M security-credits fund
Anthropic ↗
Aug 12
Policy
White House memorandum authorizes vetted private companies to run cyber operations against foreign criminal organizations
The White House ↗
Aug 10
Defense
OpenAI launches Daybreak, gating a cyber-tuned GPT-5.6-Cyber model to vetted security partners
OpenAI ↗
Aug 4
Defense
Open Secure AI Alliance and Linux Foundation issue RFC for SAFE agentic-AI incident sharing framework
SecurityWeek ↗
Aug 4
Defense
NVIDIA contributes OpenShell agent-level sandbox runtime to Open Secure AI Alliance
NVIDIA ↗
Jul 28
Policy
The CVE Program lets two AI labs assign CVE identifiers in a closed six-month pilot
CVE Program ↗
Jul 27
Defense
NVIDIA, Microsoft, IBM, Cisco and Cloudflare launch the Open Secure AI Alliance
NVIDIA ↗
Jul 14
Policy
White House launches 'Gold Eagle', a Treasury-led clearinghouse for AI-discovered cybersecurity vulnerabilities
The White House ↗
Jul 7
Policy
UK NCSC announces Cyber Shield, a national-scale agentic AI cyber defence programme
UK National Cyber Security Centre ↗
Jul 7
Defense
Reuters reports CISA is using Anthropic's Mythos model to scan federal agency code for vulnerabilities
SecurityWeek (reporting Reuters) ↗
EU implementation timeline
8
Sep 22
Sep 22
Policy
ENISA's annual threat report says AI is augmenting existing attacker skills rather than producing new capability — for now
ENISA ↗
Sep 16
Policy
The European Commission president tells Parliament that the models being built will allow hacking at a level never thought possible
European Commission (State of the Union address, via EEAS) ↗
Sep 14
Defense
An AI patching vendor says it code-reviewed the EU's new vulnerability-reporting platform before it went live
AISLE (via GlobeNewswire) ↗
Jul 31
Policy
EU financial supervisors set supervisory expectations for frontier-AI cyber risk
ESMA / EBA / EIOPA ↗
Jul 31
Policy
European Commission announces enforcement of AI Act transparency and deepfake-marking rules starting 2 August 2026
European Commission (DG CONNECT / Shaping Europe's digital future) ↗
Jul 7
Policy
ENISA publishes its view on cybersecurity in the frontier AI era, aimed at operational capability against machine-speed threats
ENISA ↗
Jul 7
Policy
European Commission presents EU Action Plan on Cybersecurity and Artificial Intelligence
European Commission (Shaping Europe's Digital Future) ↗
Jul 7
Policy
The ECB orders eurozone banks to file AI-enabled cyber action plans by 31 October
European Central Bank Banking Supervision ↗
Cyber insurance and AI liability
17
Sep 22
Sep 22
Markets
Three more carriers say AI-driven cyber losses are covered, and one calls AI a risk amplifier
Cybersecurity Dive ↗
Sep 17
Markets
CFC folds affirmative AI cyber wording into its financial-institutions suite
Insurance Business (reporting CFC) ↗
Sep 17
Markets
Beazley adds an endorsement affirming that AI-driven cyber attacks are covered — and is silent on the insured's own AI
Insurance Business (reporting Beazley) ↗
Sep 15
Markets
AIUC raises $40 million to extend its agent audits, standards and insurance to frontier models
AIUC ↗
Sep 4
Markets
CSIS reports state regulators approved more than 80% of carrier requests to exclude AI damages
CSIS ↗
Aug 31
Markets
Swiss Re puts global cyber premium at $16.4 billion and says AI is amplifying existing risks rather than creating new ones
Swiss Re ↗
Aug 28
Markets
Cyber underwriters say they are reworking policy language for autonomous AI agents
Reuters (via Claims Journal) ↗
Aug 19
Markets
Munich Re agrees to buy cyber insurtech At-Bay at a $575 million enterprise value
Munich Re ↗
Aug 10
Markets
Cowbell rebuilds part of its cyber-underwriting model around AI-specific risk factors
Insurance Business (reporting Cowbell) ↗
Jul 30
Markets
AI insurance market splits as London insurers add affirmative AI cover while US carriers file AI exclusions
Insurance Business ↗
Jul 30
Markets
Resilience reports zero H1 2026 losses from prompt injection, model exploitation or agentic AI misuse
Resilience (via PR Newswire) ↗
Jul 29
Markets
IBM's 2026 breach report puts one in four malicious breaches as AI-enabled, at about $6 million each
IBM Security ↗
Jul 29
Markets
NAIC Summer National Meeting puts AI on the agenda — as a supervisory question about insurers' own models
Willkie Farr & Gallagher ↗
Jul 24
Markets
Coalition underwriter: cyber policies respond to the loss, not to whether AI drove the attack
Insurance Business (US) ↗
Jul 22
Markets
Underwriters flag step-chaining by autonomous agents as the change that matters for cyber risk
Insurance Business (US) ↗
Jul 15
Markets
AM Best keeps a stable outlook on the global cyber insurance segment as rates keep softening
AM Best ↗
Jul 15
Markets
MGA report argues over 90% of insurers' AI agent exposure sits as silent cover in existing policies
AIUC report via Insurance Business ↗
Tracked bills
12
Sep 21
Sep 21
Policy
Bipartisan House bill would have CISA buy frontier AI for critical-infrastructure defenders
US Congress / GovInfo ↗
Sep 16
Policy
The House chairman with jurisdiction says the frontier AI safety bill will probably wait until 2027
The Record (Recorded Future News) ↗
Sep 11
Policy
Senate negotiators draft a duty-of-care AI bill that would let the government block a model's release
Reuters (via The Spokesman-Review) ↗
Sep 9
Policy
A bipartisan House bill would have NIST write standards for finding, verifying and cutting off AI agents
Office of Rep. Josh Gottheimer ↗
Sep 3
Policy
Sanders and Casar introduce a bill to ban superintelligent AI and pause advanced development
Office of Senator Bernie Sanders ↗
Sep 2
Policy
The stopgap spending law pushes the Cybersecurity Information Sharing Act sunset to December 11
US Government Publishing Office (enrolled bill text) ↗
Aug 29
Policy
A bipartisan bill would have CAISI monitor how AI systems build the next generation of AI
Office of Rep. George Whitesides ↗
Aug 5
Policy
The BLADE Act would sanction foreign entities that extract US models through unauthorized access
Office of Sen. Bill Hagerty ↗
Jul 23
Policy
The FRONTIER Act would require frontier AI developers to report incidents and submit to independent audits
Office of Rep. Jay Obernolte ↗
Jul 23
Policy
CATS Act would give AI labs an antitrust exemption to share security threat information
Office of Sen. Adam Schiff ↗
Jul 23
Policy
Bipartisan AI Kill Switch Act would require developers to be able to shut their own systems down
Office of Rep. Ted Lieu / Roll Call ↗
Jul 21
Policy
The Secure A.I. Development Act would require a secure testing environment for the most advanced models before deployment
Office of Sen. Mark Warner ↗
The pacing debate and the political answer
9
Sep 20
Sep 20
Policy
The US proposes an AI incident notification mechanism to China ahead of the Trump–Xi talks
Associated Press (via ABC News) ↗
Sep 15
Policy
OpenAI confirms weeks of safety coordination with Anthropic and Google DeepMind, and says it needs no antitrust waiver for it
Bloomberg (via Claims Journal) ↗
Sep 15
Policy
Treasury and the FTC both refuse the frontier labs the carve-outs they asked for in exchange for slowing down
FedScoop ↗
Sep 14
Policy
The US president rejects the frontier labs' call to slow down, two days after Anthropic's chief executive made it
NPR ↗
Sep 12
Capability
Anthropic's chief executive says a rogue agent swarm could hold the internet as a persistent botnet within 6–12 months
Dario Amodei ↗
Sep 3
Policy
Sanders and Casar introduce a bill to ban superintelligent AI and pause advanced development
Office of Senator Bernie Sanders ↗
Aug 18
Capability
OpenAI says it is rewriting its Preparedness Framework and holding its largest planned frontier training run over cyber-capability concerns
OpenAI ↗
Aug 10
Policy
Senator Sanders calls on OpenAI, Anthropic and Meta to pause AI development after the eval-breach incidents
Office of Sen. Bernie Sanders ↗
Aug 5
Policy
National Cyber Director Cairncross backs global adoption of US open-source AI and rejects a formal AI regulatory regime
Nextgov/FCW ↗
US signals agencies reorganising around AI
2
Sep 13
Sep 13
Policy
NSA splits into five mission centres, one of them for artificial intelligence
The Record (Recorded Future News) ↗
Sep 10
Policy
US Cyber Command names a new chief AI officer as its AI budget rises to $138 million
The Record (Recorded Future News) ↗